![]() West Virginia, too, seems to have moved even further away from the Democratic Party at the presidential level. Indiana and Missouri seem to have reverted to their normal Republican lean. Both were battleground states in 2008 but were largely uncontested in 2012. Florida is still a red-leaning state, but by under two percentageĪt the other end of the spectrum, Mr. But Florida’s fast-growing, non-Cuban Hispanic population appears to have given Mr. Romney would have carried the state in 2012. If the Sunshine State’s relative lean had remained around 4 percent, Obama carried Florida, but the state was 4.5 percentage points more Republican-leaning than the nation. Wisconsin, home to vice-presidential nominee Paul Ryan, moved furthest right, shifting by three percentage points toward theįlorida moved furthest left. The 2012 battleground states hardly shifted at all relative to the national popular vote. Obama’s highest levels of support among Republicans were in New York and New Jersey. Obama on the president’s trip to see the damage in New Jersey) had There is the possibility that Sandy (and Gov. Two of the states that moved furthest to the left bore the brunt of Hurricane Sandy, New Jersey and New York. Non-demographic factors may have also shifted the vote in certain states. Including New Jersey, Louisiana, Mississippi, New York and Maryland. Many of the states that, relative to the nation, moved toward the Democratic Party have large minority populations, Romney, the vote was 15 percentage points more Republican-leaning in 2012. In Utah, where a majority of residents share the Mormon faith with Mr. Alaska, where the 2008 Republican vice-presidential nominee Sarah Palin served as governor, was 12 percentage points less Republican-leaning this Some of the most emphatic shifts are explained by home-state effects. State-Level Margins Relative to the Nation But the partisan lean in most states moved only slightly, and only one state flipped from Obama, and 21 states shifted toward the Republican Party. Muddled: 29 states and the District of Columbia shifted toward Mr. Relative to the national popular vote, the picture is The vote in most counties, too, shifted to the political right.īut separating out the national political environment from more fundamental and potentially longer-lasting political shifts at the state level is harder. In 46 states and the District of Columbia, President Obama did worse in 2012 than he did in 2008, winning by less or losing by more. Obama leads former Mitt Romney by just under three percentage points nationally. The economic recovery was steady but tepid, and while some states are still tallying votes, Mr. His fight for a second term was more of a slog. ![]() John McCain by seven percentage points in the national popular vote. Four years ago, aided by an unpopular Republican incumbent, a financial crisis and a wave of enthusiasm, Mr. Voters overwhelmingly approved an amendment to the State Constitution expanding the rights of gun owners.For President Obama, re-election proved to be a more nerve-racking ride than his election. ![]() Richmond, won a second term in a redrawn district that now stretches from New Orleans into the Baton Rouge area. ![]() The only Democrat in the state’s House delegation, Representative Cedric L. Boustany vehemently denied.įour Republican members of the House of Representatives - Rodney Alexander, Bill Cassidy, John Fleming and Steve Scalise - easily won re-election. Boustany had supported broader ideas in the health care law, a suggestion Mr. Boustany as a supporter of President Obama’s health care overhaul, even though both candidates have voted many times to repeal it. The two were thrown together in a new district in southern Louisiana after the state lost one of its seven House seats as a result of the 2010 census. Landry, a Tea Party favorite, is seeking a second term. Boustany, a cardiovascular surgeon seeking a fifth term, is close to House Republican leaders. Neither won more than 50 percent of the vote. and Jeff Landry, will face each other in a runoff in early December. In the Louisiana’s only competitive Congressional race, two incumbent Republicans, Representatives Charles Boustany Jr. The state has not voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since it backed Bill Clinton in 19. Mitt Romney won an easy victory in Louisiana, taking its eight electoral votes. ![]()
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